A good rental history can help borrowers

First-time home buyers planning to purchase a house later this year may have a better chance of qualifying for a mortgage if they have had a history of paying their rent on time.

Making sense of the story

• Last year, credit-reporting agency Experian added a section to millions of credit reports showing on-time rent payments and raised the credit scores of many people.  The company said that this year it would add in negative marks, including mentions of bounced checks or of tenants’ leaving before a lease was up.
• Incorporating rental payments into credit scores could affect millions of people who have not established credit histories through credit cards, student loan repayments, and other credit sources.
• Almost half of consumers considered “high-risk” experienced an increase of 100 points or more after their positive rental history was added, according to Experian’s rent bureau.  Those with average or higher scores did not experience major movement.
• Although it is still too early to show the effects of the new credit report, which began in December, the changes are intended to allow lenders and consumers to have greater transparency, according to Corelogic.
• People who have lost their homes to foreclosure and are now leasing may be able to rebuild their credit histories by being responsible renters.
• However, consumer groups and advocates are skeptical, noting that reports are sometimes riddled with mistakes and some landlord-tenant disputes may be difficult to capture in a credit report.  Rent may not have been paid, for example, because the furnace was left unrepaired for months.

Housing Scorecard shows overall outlook mixed

HUD and the U.S. Dept. of the Treasury released the December edition of the Obama Administration’s Housing Scorecard this week.  Data in the Scorecard show some subtle improvements in the market over the past year, but underscore fragility as the overall outlook remains mixed. For example, new and existing home sales rose compared with the prior month and remain higher than a year ago, and homes are more affordable than they have been since 1971. Median-income families today have nearly double the funds needed to cover the cost of the average home.  However, home prices showed a slight dip from the prior month and remain below year ago levels.

The December Housing Scorecard features key data on the health of the housing market and the impact of the Administration’s foreclosure prevention programs, including:

• More than 5.5 million modification arrangements were started between April 2009 and the end of November 2011 – including more than 1.7 million HAMP trial modification starts and more than 1.1 million FHA loss mitigation and early delinquency interventions.
• Nearly 910,000 homeowners have received a HAMP permanent modification to date, saving an estimated $9.9 billion in monthly mortgage payments. The Administration’s programs continue to encourage improved standards and processes in the industry, with HOPE Now lenders offering families and individuals more than 2.6 million proprietary mortgage modifications through November.

Five issues for housing in 2012

Just as in 2011, in 2012 many will be trying to figure out where housing is headed.  While the housing market didn’t worsen in 2011, it also didn’t stabilize either.  This year, the story will be about local markets.  While many housing markets rose and fell together, they’re recovering at difference paces so talking about housing on a national level is not beneficial.

Making sense of the story

• Confidence and jobs: Housing is more affordable than it has been in decades, but many would-be buyers are worried about buying today if prices are going to be lower tomorrow.  Still, others don’t want to buy a house until they have more evidence that they’re not going to get laid off or see their hours cut back.
• Foreclosures: Banks and other mortgage investors own around 440,000 foreclosed properties, but there’s another 3.4 million loans in foreclosure or serious delinquency, according to estimates by Barclays Capital.  Because banks are faster to cut prices to unload inventory than are traditional sellers, home values can fall further as the share of distressed sales rises.
• Rents: If low mortgage rates aren’t enough to give urgency to would-be buyers, rent hikes could accelerate buyers’ decisions to take the plunge.
• Mortgage credit and rates: It’s still hard for many buyers to get approved for a mortgage because banks are demanding lots of documentation of borrowers’ incomes.
• Regulation: Many analysts don’t expect Congress to make major changes to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac during the election year, but several major regulatory changes could significantly reshape the future of the lending landscape in 2012. 

• Meanwhile, the regulator that oversees Fannie and Freddie is revamping the way that mortgage companies are paid for collecting loan payments.  This could lead to a broader shakeup in the mortgage industry that ultimately influences how much borrowers are charged for mortgages and how banks handle loans that fall into delinquency.

Getting back in the black

More than 2.6 million households are at least 60 days delinquent on their mortgage payments, according to the nonprofit coalition Hope Now. While those who are delinquent 60-120 days can make back payments to help them become current, those who are more than two months behind may need to employ other means to catch up.

Making sense of the story

• Beyond the obvious threat of foreclosure, falling behind on a mortgage can be costly:  Lenders charge late fees as well as legal and administrative costs, and the borrower’s credit score will suffer.  Experts say the sooner a delinquent borrower deals with the situation, the better the chances are of making a full economic recovery.
• Borrowers who are determined to stay in their home but cannot immediately make back payments need to start by contacting their lender or a credit counselor to discuss available options.  Among them are devising a repayment plan, modifying the loan, doing a short sale, and adding what is owed back into the mortgage balance.
• The first step borrowers should take is to assess their financial situation by looking at the amount of money brought in each month versus what is spent.  Many credit and housing counselors have worksheets on their websites to help with this.
• Next, borrowers should collect pay stubs, documentation on other income, two years’ worth of tax returns, two months of saving and checking account statements, and mortgage records.  If the borrower has experienced a hardship, such as a layoff, a divorce, or an illness, they should gather evidence of that, such as unemployment insurance receipts, medical bills, a copy of a doctor’s letter to their employer, or a divorce decree.
• Finally, borrowers should talk to their lender, servicer, or an adviser.   The federal Dept. of Housing and Urban Development certifies counseling agencies that provide free advice and assistance, and has a list of them on its website.  Counselors can offer alternatives and prepare a budget to see if the homeowner can afford to stay in the house.
• Before agreeing to a repayment schedule, it is important homeowners understand how their lender treats partial payments.  Some credit partial payments toward the balance immediately, while others hold the money in a “suspend account” until the full amount is received.  Some will return the check to the borrower, and some will stop accepting payments after the mortgage is seriously delinquent.

Consumer confidence improves in December

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index improved to 64.5 (1985=100) in December, up from 55.2 in November. The Present Situation Index increased to 46.7 from 38.3, and the Expectations Index rose to 76.4 from 66.4.

Consumers’ assessment of current conditions improved in December. Those stating business conditions are “good” increased to 16.6 percent from 13.9 percent, while those stating business conditions are “bad” declined to 33.9 percent from 38.0 percent. Consumers’ assessment of the job market also was more positive. Those claiming jobs are “plentiful” increased to 6.7 percent from 5.6 percent, while those claiming jobs are “hard to get” decreased to 41.8 percent from 43 percent.

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